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Breaking News/Great news: Paladino has caught Lazio, has continuing momentum.

September 12, 2010
 

News release just in:

SUNDAY: NY TEA PARTY LEADERS MEET TO ENDORSE PALADINO FOR GOVERNOR

 

(Buffalo, NY) – Buffalo businessman Carl Paladino, a Republican candidate for Governor of New York, Sunday will be joined at an Albany press conference with Tea Party movement leaders from across New York State, all who are standing up to endorse the outsider for Governor of New York State.

WHAT: Albany Tea Party Press Conference to Support Carl Paladino

WHO: Carl Paladino, Republican Candidate For NY Governor New York State Tea Party Leaders

WHEN: Sunday September 12, 2010 2:30 p.m.-3:30 p.m.

WHERE: Crowne Plaza Hotel State Street, Grand Ballroom Room E, Albany, NY 12207 (518)462-6611

Carl Paladino, a successful Western New York real estate developer and attorney, is a Republican candidate for Governor of New York. He and Tom Ognibene, candidate for Lieutenant Governor, petitioned their way into the Republican Primary and canvassed to create a new Taxpayers ballot line.

 

 

 
 
BREAKING NEWS: LAZIO PALADINO TO CLOSE TO CALL
 
Poll  
Carl Paladino (left) seems to

Carl Paladino and Rick Lazio are locked in a virtual dead heat (Lazio leads 43-42 percent) for the Republican nomination for Governor according to new Siena College poll of likely primary voters released today.

“In the final days of the campaign, likely Republican primary voters are split between Lazio and Paladino. A heavier than normal Republican turnout upstate will likely hand the nomination to Paladino, who leads upstate 53-32 percent, while a heavier than normal downstate suburban turnout will likely make Lazio the Republican nominee, as he leads there 55-30 percent. Lazio also leads 53-33 percent in New York City, which traditionally produces a smaller vote than any region in a Republican primary,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg.

“Some political insiders have speculated that the wildcard in this race may be the ‘Tea Party’ voters and whether or not they turn out in a big way. That may not necessarily be the case. Two-thirds of likely Republican primary voters have a favorable view of the Tea Party Movement, while only 17 percent have an unfavorable view. Paladino leads among Tea Party supporters. Lazio leads among those unfavorable or undecided about the Tea Party Movement,” Greenberg said. “Additionally, the race is dead even, 43 percent for each, among voters who identify themselves as conservatives.” 

“Tuesday, the key for all the campaigns, will be working to try and get their supporters to the polls,” Greenberg said. “On the Republican side, will more voters come from upstate or downstate? The percentage of eligible voters who show up to vote on Tuesday – and who they are and where they come from – will likely determine the outcome of all of these hotly contested primary elections.  

Turnout, Turnout. How High or Low Will it Be?

Who Will it Be?

Illuzzi, NY Politics: Again let me make the point: The poll Saturday validates our analysis. The truth is that Paladino is probably ahead by 5-10% plus given the probable  turnout  upstate Tuesday;  this predicated on his favorables in some areas being 70-80%.

Upstate there are 1 million Republicans. Paladino’s favorables in & around Erie County is 80% plus. If the turnout is 30% Paladino will get 200,000 votes, Lazio maybe 100,000. The result Paladino 250,000 votes, Lazio 200,000. Paladino wins. Now this is a snap shot of our analysis of what could happen Tuesday.  However, we believe we have made the point.

The polling we believe in skewed in Lazio’s favor because the pollsters are NOT taking into account the potential differential in the turnout between downstate & Upstate.  There is no question that if Paladino can get 30-40% give or take of the vote out up- upstate Tuesday he wins. He will pick up 40% or more of the anti Lazio vote downstate, NYC.

 

Maggie Haberman, Politico: They’re also drawing a pretty even split between self-described moderates and conservatives. However, Lazio’s negatives are higher than Paladino’s.

Poll: Paladino could beat Lazio in GOP primary for governor

September 11, 2010  By FREDRIC U. DICKER, STATE EDITOR – NY POST 

ALBANY – A stunning new poll out today shows controversial mega-millionaire Buffalo builder Carl Paladino has caught up with former Long Island U.S. Rep. Rick Lazio and could beat him in Tuesday’s GOP primary for governor

The Siena College Research Institute survey found the hard-charging Paladino, who has vowed to turn state government “upside down,” trailing Lazio by just one percentage point, 42-43 percent, among likely GOP voters, a dramatic change from a Siena poll last month that showed Paladino trailing Lazio, 43-30 percent along with 17 percent undecided.

THIS SHOWS THAT THE UNDECIDED ARE DECIDING AND PALADINO HAS GAINED ALL THE GROUND WHILE LAZIO HAS STAYED STAGNANT. PALADINO CLEARLY HAS MORE APPEAL TO THOSE OUTSIDE NEW YORK CITY, IS CONSIDERED MORE CONSERVATIVE THAN THE CONSERVATIVE ENDORSED CANDIDATE BEING PRO-LIFE, PRO-TRADITIONAL MARRIAGE, AND A STAUNCH 2ND AMENDMENT DEFENDER, WHERE ON ALL 3 LAZIO IS NOT, AND HAS MORE FAVORABLE VIEW FROM TEA PARTY GROUPS ACROSS THE STATE WHO HE HAS AGGRESIVELY COURTED. WITH MORE AND MORE ENDORSEMENTS COMING IN AND MORE GOP COUNTY CHAIRS GOING TO PALADINO, LAZIO’S 1 POINT LEAD MAY BE NO LEAD AT ALL.

“Ulster County GOP Chairman Mario Catalano Thursday announced (via a statement released by gubernatorial hopeful Carl Paladino’s campaign) that he is backing Buffalo businessman over Rick Lazio in advance of next Tuesday’s primary. Catalano cited Lazio’s refusal to debate Paladino as the main motivation behind his decision.”
Add Ulster to a growing list of County GOP Chairs endorsing Paladino as of late, some of whom had actually endorsed Lazio earlier in the year at the State convention.

This Just in:

For Immediate Press Release, September 11, 2010

The Southern Tier TEA Party Patriots of Chautauqua County announces its endorsement of Carl Paladino for Republican candidate for governor of New York.

“Paladino’s platform is consistent with the group’s philosophy: limited government, reduced spending and lower taxes, on time and balanced budget, 10th Amendment states rights, deregulation, and secure borders with no amnesty for illegal aliens.”

 

September 10, 2010

Cattaraugus County Tea Party Patriots announce our endorsement of Buffalonian Carl Paladino for Governor of New York and urge all Republicans to vote for him in the Tuesday, Sept. 14 Primary.

 “As a very successful businessman, former Army officer and as one who has never run for office, Carl has the management ability and independence necessary to bring sorely needed fundamental change to Albany. He demonstrates the strength of character and personal dynamism required to defeat”Governor as Usual” Democrat candidate Andrew Cuomo and to reform the “business as usual” Albany bureaucracy. He fully shares our goals of much reduced government interference in our lives, sharply lowered taxes and expenditures and a new and responsive attitude from state government to the people.”

 

Guv hopeful Paladino appeals to tea party activists

 

Republican gubernatorial candidate Carl Paladino came to a Riverhead rally of tea party activists Friday night, predicting an upset victory Tuesday against the party’s designee, Rick Lazio.

“This will be our strong point – right here on Long Island,” said Paladino, surrounded by supporters who came to the Elks lodge for the rally.

WE HAVE BEEN MONITORING A SUFFOLK TEA PARTY

GROUP IN LAZIO’S BACKYARD WHO’S SPOKESMAN HAS

BEEN FAVORABLE TO LAZIO, BUT THE LATEST SNAPSHOT

OF THEIR GROUPS POLL SHOWS WHAT THE OVERALL

MEMBERSHIP THINKS, AND IT’S CLEARLY PALADINO:

and here’s the most recent poll from Urban Elephants in Queens:

2 OTHER RECENT ENDORESMENTS FOR PALADINO LAST WEEK: Hamburg Town Supervisor Steve Walters and Amherst Town Supervisor Dr. Barry Weinstein endorsed Buffalo businessman Carl Paladino for Governor of New York at a Buffalo press conference. The municipal chief executives lead two of the largest towns in Erie County whose voters will be critical in the September 14th Republican Primary.

Paladino pushing hard in CNY as Republican gubernatorial primary nears
Published: Friday, September 10, 2010, 6:00 AM
Dennis Nett/Michelle Breidenbach – Post Standard

Syracuse, NY — Rick Lazio walked into the Onondaga County Republican Committee’s annual clambake ten minutes before it ended. A few people were nursing their drinks in the dark and the other candidates were gone.

Lazio walked confidently up to the television cameras and summarized his race against Democrat Andrew Cuomo for governor in the November election. As always, Lazio breezed by the fact that he has to first win Tuesday’s Republican primary.

Hours earlier, when there were still people and clams, Carl Paladino stopped at each table to shake hands and ask people to vote for him instead.

By the time he left, many in the crowd of Republicans, feeling loyal to the establishment, said they were afraid to say out loud how they planned to mark their ballots Tuesday.

 

CONSERVATIVE PARTY GOV CANDIDATE RECENTLY PUT OUT A STATEMENT, CALLS PRIMARY ELECTION A BATTLE FOR CONSERVATIVE PARTY’S SOUL

 
Ralph Lorigo, a Conservative Party candidate for Governor of New York, yet also a supporter of Paladino, and who is running on the line as an objection to State Chairman Long’s deceision to go with Lazio, says that “the September 14th primary election between himself and Rick Lazio is about more than deciding the Conservative nominee in the general election; it is about the basic principles of the Conservative Party and its existence as a major party in New York State politics.”

“The current State Conservative Party leadership has betrayed rank and file Conservative Party members by nominating an unabashed supporter of abortion, who is weak on the issue of gay marriage, who would take away our guns, and who makes us pay for his fat Wall Street bonus with our tax dollars – that is Rick Lazio,” Lorigo said. “Bill Buckley would be rolling over in his grave.”

“The Conservative Party was formed to push the New York Republican Party of Nelson Rockefeller, Jacob Javits, and John Lindsay to the right. Now the New York Republican Party is pushing the Conservative Party to the left. Rick Lazio is not one of us and doesn’t share our Conservative values! “


Lorigo, an attorney and small businessman, is a life-long Conservative Party member, and has been the Erie County Conservative Party Chairman since 1994. 

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